The Four Types of Uncertainties

There are a total of only four ways that you can obtain a quantity in lab.  It might help you to see this laid out:

  You can obtain a quantity by… … for which the uncertainty is given by…
1) … making one or two measurements, … estimation.
2) … calculation from other numbers using a theoretically based formula, … propagation of uncertainty rules.
3) … averaging many values which ideally should be the same (e.g., measurements), … calculating the standard deviation.
4) … obtaining parameters from a least-squares fit of a graph…
a) … using linear regression…
b) … using non-linear
a) …the output of Excel's LINEST(), Mathematica's LinearModelFit(), or equivalent.
b) … the output of Mathematica's NonlinearModelFit(), the Solver procedure in Excel, or equivalent.

Methods 4a and 4b are conceptually the same, but require different handling due to the mathematical relationships.

Sometimes methods 3 or 4 can free you from having to do methods 1 or 2.  That is…

  • … if you can obtain a bunch of values that you expect to be the same, then you can skip estimation or propagation of uncertainty and use standard deviation instead.
  • … if you can obtain a bunch of values, use them to make a graph, and then get parameters from a fit, then you can skip estimation or propagation of uncertainty and use LINEST() instead.

On the other hand, when you are being extremely careful, uncertainties from methods 1 or 2 can be used as part of the calculation process for methods 3 or 4.  That level of care is not expected in any but the most advanced Geneseo course work.